References

References#

We introduced the prior_elicitation package (conceptually) in the following papers:

  • Bockting, F., Radev S. T., & Bürkner P. C. (2024a) Expert-elicitation method for non-parametric joint priors using normalizing flows. Preprint at https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.15826

  • Bockting, F., Radev, S. T. & Bürkner, P. C. (2024b). Simulation-based prior knowledge elicitation for parametric Bayesian models. Scientific Reports 14, 17330 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-68090-7

  • (A software paper is in progress)

A selection of reviews on prior elicitation:

  • Falconer J. R., Frank E., Polaschek D. L., et al. (2022) Methods for eliciting informative prior distributions: A critical review. Decision Analysis 19(3):189–204. https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2022.0451

  • Garthwaite P. H., Kadane J. B., O’Hagan A. (2005) Statistical methods for eliciting probability distributions. Journal of the American statistical Association 100(470):680–701. https://doi.org/10.1198/016214505000000105

  • Mikkola, P., Martin, O. A., Chandramouli, S., Hartmann, M., Abril Pla, O., Thomas, O., … & Klami, A. (2024). Prior knowledge elicitation: The past, present, and future. Bayesian Analysis, 19(4), 1129-1161. https://doi.org/10.1214/23-BA1381

  • O’Hagan A., Buck C. E., Daneshkhah A., et al. (2006) Uncertain judgements: eliciting experts’ probabilities. John Wiley & Sons

  • Stefan A. M., Evans N. J., Wagenmakers E. J. (2022) Practical challenges and methodological flexibility in prior elicitation. Psychological Methods 27(2):177–197. https://doi.org/10.1037/met0000354